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3.5 Demand management (demand-side policies): monetary policy

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Functions of money

Medium of exchange
Acceptable as a means of payment in all market transactions.
Unit of account
Express prices → measure and compare values of goods and services.
Store of value
Hold purchasing power and wealth over time.
Standard of deferred payment

Banking system of a country

Central bank
Commercial bank
• Note issuing authority of a country. • Issues new government bonds. • Conduct monetary policy: influence interest rates, and bank lending practices. • Exchange rate policy: influences the competitiveness of a country’s exports. • Regulate the way in which commercial banks operate. • Lender of last resort: have enough cash to meet their cash obligations to depositors.
Commercial banks: financial institutions that bring borrowers and lenders together. • Collect deposits. • Keep a fraction of the deposits.

Demand for money

Nominal income of a country increases → demand for money increases.
Figure 3.5.1 Demand curves for money
Interest rates increase (r1 → r2) → demand for money decrease (M1 → M2).
Movement along the Md (money demand) curve.

Supply of money

Determined by the central bank.
Figure 3.5.2 The money supply curve
Vertical at M (certain quantity of money).

Determination of interest rates by the central bank

Figure 3.5.3 The money market
Determined by the interaction of the Md & Ms (money supply) curve.

Monetary policy

Monetary policy: demand-side policy carried out by a central bank that influences AD by changing interest rates, money supply, and access to credit.
Goals of monetary policy
Achieve and maintain price stability
Minimise fluctuations in the business cycle
Promote a stable and less uncertain macroeconomic environment
Avoid the adverse consequences of inflation.
Permit central banks to act as ‘first responders’ to a risk of recession.
Low and stable inflation → higher investment spending → higher economic growth.

Tools of monetary policy

Required reserve ratio (rr)(r_r)
Quantitative easing
Open market operations
Fraction of total deposits that a bank is legally obligated to keep and not lend out.
Central bank purchases a large amount of financial assets from commercial banks to increase the money supply and lower interest rates.
The central bank buys and sells bonds to commercial banks to influence the money supply and interest rates.

How does the central bank change interest rates?

Increase interest rates
Decrease AD: contractionary monetary policy.
Decrease interest rates
Increase AD: expansionary monetary policy.

Effect of expansionary monetary policy on aggregate demand

Figure 3.5.4 Expasionary monetary policy on AD
Increase consumption expenditures (C)
Lower interest rates → cost of borrowing for households ↓ → households borrow more from banks to consume more goods and services → C ↑ → AD ↑
Lower interest rates → incentive for households to save ↓ → incentive to spend more ↑ → C ↑ → AD ↑
Increase investment expenditures (I)
Lower interest rates → cost of borrowing for firms ↓→ firms borrow more to build new factories → I ↑ → AD ↑
Increase net exports (X-M)
Lower interest rates → rate of return for financial investors who have deposits ↓ → investors will sell the currency to purchase currencies of other countries → depreciation → exports are cheaper abroad → exports are more competitive abroad → exports ↑ → X-M ↑

Effect of contractionary monetary policy on aggregate demand

Figure 3.5.5 Contractionary monetary policy on AD
Decrease consumption expenditures (C)
Higher interest rates → cost of borrowing for households ↑ → borrowing ↓ → household expenditures ↓ → C ↓→ C is a component of AD → AD ↓ (AD’ → AD).
Higher interest rates → incentive for households to save ↑ → households save more → household expenditure ↓ . → C ↓ → AD ↓
Decrease investment expenditures (I)
Higher interest rates → cost of borrowing for firms ↑ → I ↓ → AD ↓
Decrease net exports (X-M)
Higher interest rates → rate of return for investors who own deposits in that country’s currency ↑ → demand for that country’s currency ↑ → appreciation → exports ↓ → (X-M) ↓ → AD ↓

The real interest rate

real interest rate = nominal interest rate - inflation rate
Real interest rate: interest rate adjusted for inflation

Effectiveness of monetary policy

Advantages
Disadvantages
Flexible • Respond quickly to changing economic conditions.
Less effective in fighting a recession. Low consumer & business confidence during a deep recession.
Incremental • Central banks can increase/decrease interest rates in a series of steps of 0.25% at a time.
Limited scope of reducing interest rates. • Economies unable to exit a recession / deflation.
Time lags • Detection / recognition lag: the time it takes for policymakers to realise that there is an economic problem. • Administrative / implementation lag: time it takes for policymakers to decide on the appropriate policy response. • Impact / execution lag.